Maybe you’ve met some recent transplants from Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens in your neighborhoods, schools and coffee shops.
There has been anecdotal evidence of their migration from the New York City area to the Syracuse area during the coronavirus pandemic.
Now, U.S. Postal Service records show the extent of it.
In 2020, there was nearly a 70% bump in the number of New York City area residents who changed their addresses to the Syracuse metropolitan area, which includes Onondaga, Oswego and Madison counties, according to an analysis by the national commercial real estate firm CBRE.
In 2019, 822 people from the New York City area changed their addresses to the Syracuse region. In 2020, that number jumped to 1,389, records show.
There was also an 18% drop in the number of people who moved the other direction.
Eric Willett, research director at CBRE, said the increase is striking. And because it fits previous migration patterns, it’s a real trend Syracuse leaders should notice, he said.
“The pandemic really underscored the attractive lifestyles and affordability that these secondary markets offer,” he said.
The research confirms what Syracuse.com found last year in interviews and an analysis of home sales.
People were not just moving to the Syracuse area, but buying homes in a place they only knew through Instagram and word of mouth. It’s unusual for Syracuse, where people more often move back to be near family or college connections.
The news is exciting to the staff at CenterState CEO. They have been marketing the region for decades. The numbers fit anecdotal evidence they glean from the back end of their recruiting website. During the pandemic, New York City residents, mostly in the 24 to 44 age group, were searching for job openings as well as real estate listings and “reasons to move to CNY,” said Ben Sio, chief of staff for CenterState.
Other hits came from Philadelphia, Boston, Washington and Detroit, he said.
“There’s a demand for the product we’re selling,” he said.
USPS change of address forms are the quickest way for researchers to look at migration, but those records are not perfect science. The firm limited its analysis to people who changed their addresses for more than six months to eliminate snow birds and college students. But the number of people coming and going from Florida shows plenty of winter residents were likely still counted in the data.
Better migration records will eventually be released by the U.S. Census Bureau and the IRS.
Researchers will look for more reliable information as they focus on the next wave. The pandemic has created an unexpected opportunity. Will the New Yorkers stay in Syracuse? Will they continue to work remotely for their old jobs in old cities? Will their spouses look for work in Syracuse?
“The question for us is if we can maintain that movement nationally into smaller and mid-size areas and be able to make decisions based on quality of life and commuter times and not just make a decision on total pay and all that,” Sio said.
Nearly all urban centers lost population during the pandemic, according to CBRE’s research.
Some fared better than others, but across the country, urban centers had 15% bigger losses over the year before. Most of the moves were short distances to nearby counties.
Sacramento benefited the most as people fled San Francisco for bigger homes.
Another positive sign for the Syracuse region was a drop in the net loss of people moving out of the region.
In 2019, the region had a net loss of 7,000 people.
In 2020, that slowed by about half, to 3,700.
Here are the 50 places that had the biggest increase in movement to the Syracuse area from 2019 to 2020:
If you can’t see the list on your device, open the story in a web browser.
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Contact Michelle Breidenbach | firstname.lastname@example.org | 315-470-3186.
Originally Appeared On: https://www.syracuse.com/business/2021/04/how-many-people-moved-from-nyc-to-syracuse-in-pandemic-search-50-cities-that-lost-residents-to-cny.html